Siberian Federal University 
- Issue
- Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2026 19 (6)
- Authors
- Lobkova, Elena V.
- Contact information
- Lobkova, Elena V. : Siberian Federal University (Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation); ; ORCID: 0000-0003-2804-3427
- Keywords
- food security and self- sufficiency; regional monitoring; dynamic model; differential equation; forecasting
- Abstract
The article substantiates the need to shift the focus of the national food security system from uniform measures to targeted regional interventions. Monitoring regional food self-sufficiency, which includes indicators of food production and availability, nutritional quality characteristics, and technological support metrics, forms the basis for an adaptive policy of balanced development of interregional exchange and reducing import dependence. The article proposes a dynamic modeling methodology that formalizes the dependence of food system parameters on a set of factors. The approach is based on the construction of differential equations. Validation of the model using data from Krasnoyarsk Krai demonstrates its ability to identify production- related risks. The model is positioned as a tool for establishing control indicators and monitoring sensitive areas of food supply
- Pages
- 1191–1201
- EDN
- IRKNMS
- Paper at repository of SibFU
- https://elib.sfu-kras.ru/handle/2311/158600
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).