- Issue
- Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2023 16 (9)
- Authors
- Ibragimov, Naimjon M.; Ershov, Yurii S.
- Contact information
- Ibragimov, Naimjon M.: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; Novosibirsk National Research State University Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; Novosibirsk State Technical University Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; ; ORCID: 0000-0001-8540-5039; Ershov, Yurii S.: Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS Russian Federation, Novosibirsk; ; ORCID: 0000-0003-3526-3727
- Keywords
- spatial economy; multiregional input-output models; multiplier effects; interregional interactions
- Abstract
Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the SB RAS actively uses multiregional input-output models (MRIOMs) to build long-term macroeconomic forecasts for the development of the spatial economy of the Russian Federation. In addition to the fact that static MRIOMs serve as the basis for semi-dynamic ones, they allow us to give quantitative estimates of the interactions of regions, the degree of their interdependence and complementarity. The article discusses the problems of measuring the spatial multiplier effects of economic activity. To obtain more informative estimates, we conduct a retrospective multiplicative analysis – a comparison of the state of the economy in 2007 and 2015. To calculate the multipliers, we transform the MRIOM, built in the context of eight federal districts, into a three-zone Moses-Chenery multiregional input-output model. As a result, we obtained estimates of spatial direct-effect and final-demand multipliers, on the basis of which the structures of creation and use of products by region were determined. Based on the estimates obtained, we made conclusions about the significance of the regions under study
- Pages
- 1630–1643
- EDN
- YQGIMY
- Paper at repository of SibFU
- https://elib.sfu-kras.ru/handle/2311/151700
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).