- Issue
- Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences. 2013 6 (6)
- Authors
- Tolstikhina, Olga S.; Gavrikov, Vladimir L.; Khlebopros, Rem G.; Okhonin, Viktor A.
- Contact information
- Tolstikhina, Olga S.: Saint Petersburg State University, 3 Volkhovsky Per., St. Petersburg, 199004 Russia; e-mail: tolstikhina@gmail.com; Gavrikov, Vladimir L.: Siberian Federal University, 79 Svodobny, Krasnoyarsk, 660041 Russia;; Khlebopros, Rem G.: Siberian Federal University, 79 Svodobny, Krasnoyarsk, 660041 Russia;; Okhonin, Viktor A.: University of Ottawa, 75 Laurier Avenue East, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5, Canada;
- Keywords
- demographic transition theory; fertility; life expectancy; economic dividend; success
- Abstract
The notion of demographic transition is well known for several centuries and it is quite often the basis for demographic and social policies in the world. Since many countries have completed the transition process from rural to industrial economies with low rate of fertility and high life expectancy it is interesting to have a closer look at the global trend of where the world is going to. This trend is estimated from the point of a choice at the national level and a choice of each person in the world. The result obtained shows no quantitative and qualitative difference between the two choices. Finally the notion of success for each country has been discussed depending on whether it is on the trend, above or below the trend.
- Pages
- 890-896
- Paper at repository of SibFU
- https://elib.sfu-kras.ru/handle/2311/9840
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).